多目標決策分析

臺北科技大學 115-1 學期課程,課號 366623。

課程大綱

決策行為是人們每天在做的活動。然而,除非至少有兩個準則存在,否則不需要做決策,也因此這類問題被稱為多準則決策問題(MCDP)。當替代方案已知時,最終的決定就會被做出,這種類型的問題被稱為多屬性決策問題(MADP)。當替代方案未知,我們必須在某些外部條件下找到它們時,問題被稱為多目標決策問題(MODP)。多準則決策分析(MCDA)是一個通用術語,包括兩類問題的技術,即多屬性決策分析(MADA)和多目標決策分析(MODA),其中目標規劃是它的特殊情況。在這門課程中,我們將介紹這些MCDA方法,從確定性到不確定性。 Making decisions is a daily activity for all of us. However, no decision making occurs unless at least TWO criteria are present, thus this type of problems is called Multi-Criteria Decision Problems (MCDP). When the alternatives are known, the final decision is made and such type of problems is called Multi-Attribute Decision Problems (MADP). When the alternatives are unknown and we have to find them under some external conditions, and the problems are called Multi-Objective Decision Problems (MODP). Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) is a general term that consists of techniques for two types of problems with Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis (MADA) and Multi-Objective Decision Analysis (MODA) in which Goal Programming is its special case. In this course, we will introduce these MCDA methods from certain to uncertainty.

課程進度

1st week/ Introduction to Multi-criteria Decision Making 2nd week/ Types of Decision Problems and traps 3rd week/ Preference Structure and Decision Support 4th weel/ Architecture Issues and Systematic Decision-making Processes, Decision Goals and Attributes 5th week/ Decision-making Creativity, Brief Introduction to Python code 6th week/ Foundation of Multi-attribute Decision Analysis, Outcome Measurement and Tradeoff 7th week/ Simple Multi-attribute Ranking Technique (SMART), Model of Displaced Ideal 8th week/ (期中考試週) Paper reading and presentation 9th week/ Methods of Outcome Evaluation, Analysis Hierarchy Process (AHP) 10th week/ Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), Project Assignment Proposal 11th week/ Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), Fuzzy Evaluation 12th week/ Foundation of Multi-Objective Decision Making 13th week/ Multi-Objective Linear Programming 14th week/ Goal Programming 15th week/ Interactive Programming, Fuzzy Planning 16th week/ Decision tree Bayesian Decision Analysis and the Value of Information

評量方式

Practice of python code and exercises 20% Assignments 15% Paper reading 15% Project proposal 15% Final project 30% attend 5%

教材

【遵守智慧財產權觀念,請使用正版教科書,不得使用非法影印教科書】 使用外文原文書:是 Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis for Industrial Engineering: Methodology and Applications, Gerald William Evans, 2017, CRC Press, ISBN 9781498739 825 Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis: An Integrated Approach, Valerie Belton, Theodor J. Stewart, 2001. Springer, ISBN 079237505X Multicriteria Decision Analysis: From Certainty to Uncertainty, Hsiao-Fan Wang, 2004. Tsang Hai, ISBN 9867777557 Introduction to Operations Research, Hiller and Lieberman, 2021. McGraw-Hill